Best Bets Today: September 13, 2026

27 games on the Best Bets board for Sunday, September 13, 2026 across NCAAF, MLB, NFL. 20 of them are priced inside three points, which is where a half point of line shopping is worth the most. The tightest number on the board is Jets @ Titans at -1 — a coin flip the market cannot separate. Totals average 27.6 across the slate. Every number below is the median across US books at publication, not one sportsbook's opinion — treat it as the market and compare it to the price in front of you.

Numbers below are the median across 11 US sportsbooks surveyed when this edition published, not one book's opinion. Lines move all day — confirm the current price at your own book before betting, and read line shopping for why the half point you give away is the most expensive habit in betting.

Today's Card

A best bet is not the game we like most. It is the game where the gap between our number and the market's is largest relative to what it costs to get on.

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Best Bets Odds Board — September 13, 2026

Game-By-Game Previews

Colorado Rockies at Detroit Tigers

Card focus

MLB · Sun 12:11 PM ET · Tigers -1.5 · O/U 8.5 · ML Rockies +130 / Tigers -155

A -1.5 price on Tigers puts this inside a single score, and games priced this close are where a half point is worth the most of anywhere on the board. The market has priced 8.5 points into this one, which is the number to start from if the side is too close to call. Moneyline consensus is Rockies +130 / Tigers -155. Prices move up to 12:11 PM ET, so treat the number here as where the market was and not necessarily where you can get on.

Buffalo Bills at Houston Texans

Card focus

NFL · Sun 1:00 PM ET · Bills -1.5 · O/U 44.5 · ML Bills -118 / Texans -103

Bills is only -1.5 against Texans, which is the market saying it expects a one-score game and leaning barely at all. 44.5 is the posted total. Comparing it against what you think the game looks like is usually a cleaner decision than picking a side this close. Moneyline consensus is Bills -118 / Texans -103. Compare this against your own book before 1:00 PM ET — the price you actually get is the only one that pays.

New York Jets at Tennessee Titans

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NFL · Sun 1:00 PM ET · Titans -1 · O/U 38.5 · ML Jets +100 / Titans -119

A -1 price on Titans puts this inside a single score, and games priced this close are where a half point is worth the most of anywhere on the board. The market has priced 38.5 points into this one, which is the number to start from if the side is too close to call. Moneyline consensus is Jets +100 / Titans -119. Whether that reads cheap or expensive is your call to make against your own book before 1:00 PM ET.

Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves

Card focus

MLB · Sun 1:36 PM ET · Braves -1.5 · O/U 9 · ML Phillies +110 / Braves -128

The consensus has Braves -1.5, a margin narrow enough that the difference between books matters more than the difference between the teams. Totals are where a close game gets interesting, and this one is posted at 9. Moneyline consensus is Phillies +110 / Braves -128. Compare this against your own book before 1:36 PM ET — the price you actually get is the only one that pays.

New Mexico State Aggies at Hawaii Rainbow Warriors

NCAAF · Sun 12:05 AM ET · Warriors -3.5 · O/U 54.5 · ML Aggies +250 / Warriors -350

Warriors -3.5 is a real but containable edge — the market expects them to win without expecting the game to stop being a game. 54.5 is the posted total. Comparing it against what you think the game looks like is usually a cleaner decision than picking a side this close. Moneyline consensus is Aggies +250 / Warriors -350. The number sits beside 3, the most common football margin, which makes shopping for the better side of that half point the whole decision. The board above is the median across US books at publication. Check it against your book before 12:05 AM ET rather than assuming they match.

Atlanta Falcons at Pittsburgh Steelers

NFL · Sun 1:00 PM ET · Steelers -6 · O/U 41 · ML Falcons +235 / Steelers -290

At -6, Steelers is favoured by more than a field goal and less than a comfortable margin, which is the range where the total and the side inform each other most. Totals are where a close game gets interesting, and this one is posted at 41. Moneyline consensus is Falcons +235 / Steelers -290. None of that is a recommendation — it is what the price implies. Check the current number before 1:00 PM ET and decide from there.

Baltimore Ravens at Indianapolis Colts

NFL · Sun 1:00 PM ET · Ravens -3 · O/U 48 · ML Ravens -170 / Colts +144

-3 on Ravens is a lean, not a verdict: the market is telling you it expects Colts to be within a score of this at the end. The total sits at 48, which is the faster read on this game than the side: it says how much scoring the market has priced in before you form your own view. Moneyline consensus is Ravens -170 / Colts +144. The number is parked on 3, the single most common NFL and college margin, so buying or selling that half point matters more here than anywhere else on the board. Whether that reads cheap or expensive is your call to make against your own book before 1:00 PM ET.

Chicago Bears at Carolina Panthers

NFL · Sun 1:00 PM ET · Bears -3 · O/U 47 · ML Bears -170 / Panthers +140

A -3 price on Bears puts this inside a single score, and games priced this close are where a half point is worth the most of anywhere on the board. The market has priced 47 points into this one, which is the number to start from if the side is too close to call. Moneyline consensus is Bears -170 / Panthers +140. The number is parked on 3, the single most common NFL and college margin, so buying or selling that half point matters more here than anywhere else on the board. Whatever you make of it, shop the number before 1:00 PM ET; a half point here is worth more than most opinions about the game.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Cincinnati Bengals

NFL · Sun 1:00 PM ET · Bengals -3.5 · O/U 50.5 · ML Buccaneers +175 / Bengals -205

Bengals -3.5 is a real but containable edge — the market expects them to win without expecting the game to stop being a game. Totals are where a close game gets interesting, and this one is posted at 50.5. Moneyline consensus is Buccaneers +175 / Bengals -205. The number sits beside 3, the most common football margin, which makes shopping for the better side of that half point the whole decision. The board above is the median across US books at publication. Check it against your book before 1:00 PM ET rather than assuming they match.

Cleveland Browns at Jacksonville Jaguars

NFL · Sun 1:00 PM ET · Jaguars -9 · O/U 40 · ML Browns +320 / Jaguars -420

Jaguars -9 is a two-score expectation. Prices this long are usually more about how the favourite finishes than whether it leads. A total of 40 beside a spread this size is the market describing pace as much as strength; that is the half of the price still open to disagreement. Moneyline consensus is Browns +320 / Jaguars -420. Prices move up to 1:00 PM ET, so treat the number here as where the market was and not necessarily where you can get on.

New Orleans Saints at Detroit Lions

NFL · Sun 1:00 PM ET · Lions -7 · O/U 50 · ML Saints +260 / Lions -325

At -7, Lions is favoured by more than a field goal and less than a comfortable margin, which is the range where the total and the side inform each other most. 50 is the posted total. Comparing it against what you think the game looks like is usually a cleaner decision than picking a side this close. Moneyline consensus is Saints +260 / Lions -325. Seven is the second-largest cluster in football margins, so a half point either side of this number is worth real win probability. None of that is a recommendation — it is what the price implies. Check the current number before 1:00 PM ET and decide from there.

Los Angeles Angels at Washington Nationals

MLB · Sun 1:36 PM ET · Nationals -1.5 · O/U 9 · ML Angels +103 / Nationals -120

-1.5 on Nationals is a lean, not a verdict: the market is telling you it expects Angels to be within a score of this at the end. The total sits at 9, which is the faster read on this game than the side: it says how much scoring the market has priced in before you form your own view. Moneyline consensus is Angels +103 / Nationals -120. Whatever you make of it, shop the number before 1:36 PM ET; a half point here is worth more than most opinions about the game.

New York Mets at New York Yankees

MLB · Sun 1:36 PM ET · Yankees -1.5 · O/U 7.5 · ML Mets +156 / Yankees -186

Yankees is only -1.5 against Mets, which is the market saying it expects a one-score game and leaning barely at all. 7.5 is the posted total. Comparing it against what you think the game looks like is usually a cleaner decision than picking a side this close. Moneyline consensus is Mets +156 / Yankees -186. The board above is the median across US books at publication. Check it against your book before 1:36 PM ET rather than assuming they match.

Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays

MLB · Sun 1:38 PM ET · Jays -1.5 · O/U 7.5 · ML Orioles +130 / Jays -152

A -1.5 price on Jays puts this inside a single score, and games priced this close are where a half point is worth the most of anywhere on the board. The market has priced 7.5 points into this one, which is the number to start from if the side is too close to call. Moneyline consensus is Orioles +130 / Jays -152. Prices move up to 1:38 PM ET, so treat the number here as where the market was and not necessarily where you can get on.

Los Angeles Dodgers at Miami Marlins

MLB · Sun 1:40 PM ET · Dodgers -1.5 · O/U 8.5 · ML Dodgers -151 / Marlins +130

The consensus has Dodgers -1.5, a margin narrow enough that the difference between books matters more than the difference between the teams. Totals are where a close game gets interesting, and this one is posted at 8.5. Moneyline consensus is Dodgers -151 / Marlins +130. None of that is a recommendation — it is what the price implies. Check the current number before 1:40 PM ET and decide from there.

Houston Astros at Tampa Bay Rays

MLB · Sun 1:41 PM ET · Rays -1.5 · O/U 7.5 · ML Astros +118 / Rays -140

-1.5 on Rays is a lean, not a verdict: the market is telling you it expects Astros to be within a score of this at the end. The total sits at 7.5, which is the faster read on this game than the side: it says how much scoring the market has priced in before you form your own view. Moneyline consensus is Astros +118 / Rays -140. Whether that reads cheap or expensive is your call to make against your own book before 1:41 PM ET.

Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers

MLB · Sun 2:11 PM ET · Brewers -1.5 · O/U 8 · ML Reds +166 / Brewers -200

Brewers is only -1.5 against Reds, which is the market saying it expects a one-score game and leaning barely at all. 8 is the posted total. Comparing it against what you think the game looks like is usually a cleaner decision than picking a side this close. Moneyline consensus is Reds +166 / Brewers -200. Compare this against your own book before 2:11 PM ET — the price you actually get is the only one that pays.

Pittsburgh Pirates at Chicago Cubs

MLB · Sun 2:21 PM ET · Cubs -1.5 · O/U 6.5 · ML Pirates +123 / Cubs -145

A -1.5 price on Cubs puts this inside a single score, and games priced this close are where a half point is worth the most of anywhere on the board. The market has priced 6.5 points into this one, which is the number to start from if the side is too close to call. Moneyline consensus is Pirates +123 / Cubs -145. Whatever you make of it, shop the number before 2:21 PM ET; a half point here is worth more than most opinions about the game.

Kansas City Royals at Boston Red Sox

MLB · Sun 3:06 PM ET · Sox -1.5 · O/U 7.5 · ML Royals +155 / Sox -183

The consensus has Sox -1.5, a margin narrow enough that the difference between books matters more than the difference between the teams. Totals are where a close game gets interesting, and this one is posted at 7.5. Moneyline consensus is Royals +155 / Sox -183. The board above is the median across US books at publication. Check it against your book before 3:06 PM ET rather than assuming they match.

Seattle Mariners at Athletics

MLB · Sun 4:06 PM ET · Mariners -1.5 · O/U 10 · ML Mariners -145 / Athletics +123

-1.5 on Mariners is a lean, not a verdict: the market is telling you it expects Athletics to be within a score of this at the end. The total sits at 10, which is the faster read on this game than the side: it says how much scoring the market has priced in before you form your own view. Moneyline consensus is Mariners -145 / Athletics +123. Prices move up to 4:06 PM ET, so treat the number here as where the market was and not necessarily where you can get on.

Texas Rangers at Arizona Diamondbacks

MLB · Sun 4:11 PM ET · Diamondbacks -1.5 · O/U 8.5 · ML Rangers +119 / Diamondbacks -142

Diamondbacks is only -1.5 against Rangers, which is the market saying it expects a one-score game and leaning barely at all. 8.5 is the posted total. Comparing it against what you think the game looks like is usually a cleaner decision than picking a side this close. Moneyline consensus is Rangers +119 / Diamondbacks -142. None of that is a recommendation — it is what the price implies. Check the current number before 4:11 PM ET and decide from there.

Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Chargers

NFL · Sun 4:25 PM ET · Chargers -9.5 · O/U 47 · ML Cardinals +390 / Chargers -505

At -9.5, Chargers is being priced to win by two scores, and a number that size shifts the interesting question from who wins to whether Cardinals keeps it respectable. With the side this clear, 47 is the number worth arguing about — it is the market's estimate of the shape of the game rather than its winner. Moneyline consensus is Cardinals +390 / Chargers -505. Whether that reads cheap or expensive is your call to make against your own book before 4:25 PM ET.

Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings

NFL · Sun 4:25 PM ET · Vikings -2 · O/U 46 · ML Packers +110 / Vikings -130

The consensus has Vikings -2, a margin narrow enough that the difference between books matters more than the difference between the teams. Totals are where a close game gets interesting, and this one is posted at 46. Moneyline consensus is Packers +110 / Vikings -130. Compare this against your own book before 4:25 PM ET — the price you actually get is the only one that pays.

Miami Dolphins at Las Vegas Raiders

NFL · Sun 4:25 PM ET · Raiders -3 · O/U 40.5 · ML Dolphins +140 / Raiders -170

-3 on Raiders is a lean, not a verdict: the market is telling you it expects Dolphins to be within a score of this at the end. The total sits at 40.5, which is the faster read on this game than the side: it says how much scoring the market has priced in before you form your own view. Moneyline consensus is Dolphins +140 / Raiders -170. The number is parked on 3, the single most common NFL and college margin, so buying or selling that half point matters more here than anywhere else on the board. Whatever you make of it, shop the number before 4:25 PM ET; a half point here is worth more than most opinions about the game.

Written reads cover the 24 games closest to a pick'em, where a half point of value is worth the most. The remaining 3 games on today's slate are on the full board above with consensus numbers.

What Makes A Play A Best Bet

The phrase is used loosely everywhere, so here is the specific test a play has to pass to reach this page's card.

1. A priced disagreement. Our number on the game differs from the market's by more than the vig we pay to get on. No disagreement, no play, however attractive the matchup.
2. A reason that existed before the number. A schedule spot, a pace mismatch, a pitching edge, a key-number position. If the reasoning was constructed to justify a number we already liked, it is not a reason.
3. A price still available. An edge that has already been bet away by the time you read it is not an edge. That is why the card ships early and why closing line value is the honest scorecard.
4. A size that fits. A larger edge earns a second unit. It does not earn a bankroll. See unit sizing.

How To Compare Prices Across Sports

The board above mixes leagues on purpose, because the question that matters on a mixed slate is not which game you like but which price is best. A -3.5 in the NFL, a -145 in baseball and a 224.5 total in the NBA are all the same kind of object once you convert them.

Convert everything to implied probability and the comparison becomes mechanical: a -145 favourite needs to win 59.2% of the time to break even, so if you think the true number is 63% you have a play, and if you think it is 58% you do not, no matter how confident the write-up sounds. Football spreads need the same treatment against key numbers before they are comparable at all.

The by-sport editions go deeper on each: NFL, NBA, MLB and college football.

What This Page Is Not

It is not a feed of guaranteed winners, and nobody honest sells one. Long-run handicapping at a professional level means winning somewhere in the mid-50s against the spread, which is enough to matter enormously and nothing like enough to be certain about any single game.

It is also not a substitute for your own process. The most valuable thing on this page for a new bettor is the guide list further down, not the card — are sports picks worth it makes that case honestly, including the parts that argue against paying for anything.

Money Maverick Sports publishes analysis and opinion, not predictions of certainty. No play on this page or behind the membership wall is guaranteed. Bet only what you can afford to lose, and if betting has stopped being a choice, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Before You Bet: The Guides Behind This Card

Nothing on this page beats knowing the mechanics cold. These are the evergreen guides the analysis above assumes, and they do not change when the slate does.

The full library runs to more than fifty pages: betting guides for method, sports betting picks hub for this sport specifically, and the glossary for anything above that needs a definition.

Earlier Editions

Every edition of this page is kept permanently. The numbers stay exactly as they were posted on the morning of the slate, which makes the archive the only honest way to check what a market looked like before the games were played rather than after.

• Best Bets Today — September 12, 2026
• Best Bets Today — September 11, 2026
• Best Bets Today — September 10, 2026
• Best Bets Today — September 9, 2026
• Best Bets Today — September 8, 2026
• Best Bets Today — September 7, 2026
• Best Bets Today — September 6, 2026

All best bets today editions · the full pick archive across every sport.

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